决策的本质:解释古巴导弹危机

决策的本质
分享
扫描下方二维码分享到微信
打开微信,点击右上角”+“,
使用”扫一扫“即可将网页分享到朋友圈。
作者: [美] (Graham T.Allison) (Philip Zelikow)
出版社: 北京大学出版社
2008-01
版次: 1
ISBN: 9787301132364
定价: 43.00
装帧: 平装
开本: 16开
纸张: 胶版纸
页数: 416页
字数: 596千字
正文语种: 英语
原版书名: Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis(2nd Edition)
分类: 政治
  •   这是第二次世界大战后最有影响力的政治学著作之一。《决策的本质》原作以独特的视角审视了冷战时期的关键事件。此经典著作的第二版不仅仅是修订,更是重写:重新解释了古巴导弹危机前后的理论及事件;也融入了肯尼迪录音带及最近解密的苏联文件的信息。第二版提炼了原著中格雷厄姆·阿利森任美国助理国防部长及哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院院长时期的一些评论和观点。同时也有一位新的作者菲利普·泽利科参与了第二版的撰写,他著有十分畅销的评论著作《肯尼迪录音带》(TheKennedyTapes,HarvardUniversityPress,1997)。《决策的本质》(第二版)鲜活地展现了重压之下的决策过程,此书也是唯一一部尝试解决这一经久不衰的问题的著作:人们如何理解政府的举动?   格雷厄姆·阿利森(GrahamT.Allison),哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院院长、教授,曾在克林顿政府时期任助理国防部长。 Preface
    Introduction
    1 ModelI:TheRationalActor
    ARigorousModelofAction
    ARationalActorParadigm
    TheClassicalModelIllustrated
    ClassicalRealism.Neorealism(StructuralRealism).
    InternationalInstitutionalism.Liberalism.Strategy,War,
    andRationalChoice.
    VariantsandUsesoftheClassicalModel
    2TheCubanMissileCrisis:AFirstCut
    WhyDidtheSovietUnionDecidetoPlaceOffensiveMissilesin
    Cuba?
    Hypothesis1:CubanDefense.Hypothesis2:ColdWarPolitics.
    Hypothesis3:MissilePower.Hypothesis4:Berlin--Win,
    Trade,orTrap.
    WhyDidtheUnitedStatesRespondtotheMissileDeployment
    withaBlockade?
    AlternativeI:DoNothing.Alternative2:Diplomatic
    Pressures.Alternative3:ASecretApproachtoCastro.
    Alternative4:Invasion.Alternative5:AirStrike.
    Alternative6:Blockade.
    WhyDidtheSovietUnionWithdrawtheMissiles?
    3 ModelII:OrganizationalBehavior
    OrganizationalLogicandEfficiency
    OrganizationalLogicandOrganizationalCulture
    InteractiveComplexity
    NASA:HeroandGoat
    OrganizationalBehaviorParadigm
    4TheCubanMissileCrisis:ASecondCut
    DeploymentofSovietMissilesinCuba
    TheSovietBuild-upinDetail.Organizational
    Implementation.
    ImpositionofaU.S.BlockadeofCuba
    OrganizationalIntelligence.OrganizationalOptions.
    OrganizationalImplementation.
    TheWithdrawalofSovietMissilesfromCuba
    5ModelIII:GovernmentalPolitics
    TheGovernmentalPoliticsModelIllustrated__
    1.SeparatedInstitutionsSharingPower.2.ThePowerto
    Persuade.3.BargainingAccordingtotheProcesses.4.Power
    EqualsImpactonOutcome.5.Intranationaland
    InternationalRelations.
    GroupProcessesandTheirEffectsonChoicesandAction
    1.BetterDecisions.2.The"Agency"Problem:Principals,
    Agents,andPlayers.3.Participants:WhoPlays?4.Decision
    Rules.5.FramingIssuesandSettingAgendas.6.Groupthink.
    7.Complexityof]ointAction.
    AGovernmentalPoliticsParadigm
    6TheCubanMissileCrisis:AThirdCut
    TheImpositionofaBlockadebytheUnitedStates
    ThePoliticsofDiscovery.ThePoliticsofChoice.
    SovietWithdrawaloftheMissilesfromCuba
    SovietsKillanAmericanU-2Pilot.ThePresidentandthe
    Chairman.The"Deal":ResolvingtheTurkishProblem.
    The"Deal":ResolvingtheCubanProblem.
    7Conclusion
    SummingUp:DifferencesinInterpretation
    SummingUp:DifferentAnswersorDifferentQuestions?
    WhereDoWeGofromHere?
    Index
  • 内容简介:
      这是第二次世界大战后最有影响力的政治学著作之一。《决策的本质》原作以独特的视角审视了冷战时期的关键事件。此经典著作的第二版不仅仅是修订,更是重写:重新解释了古巴导弹危机前后的理论及事件;也融入了肯尼迪录音带及最近解密的苏联文件的信息。第二版提炼了原著中格雷厄姆·阿利森任美国助理国防部长及哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院院长时期的一些评论和观点。同时也有一位新的作者菲利普·泽利科参与了第二版的撰写,他著有十分畅销的评论著作《肯尼迪录音带》(TheKennedyTapes,HarvardUniversityPress,1997)。《决策的本质》(第二版)鲜活地展现了重压之下的决策过程,此书也是唯一一部尝试解决这一经久不衰的问题的著作:人们如何理解政府的举动?
  • 作者简介:
      格雷厄姆·阿利森(GrahamT.Allison),哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院院长、教授,曾在克林顿政府时期任助理国防部长。
  • 目录:
    Preface
    Introduction
    1 ModelI:TheRationalActor
    ARigorousModelofAction
    ARationalActorParadigm
    TheClassicalModelIllustrated
    ClassicalRealism.Neorealism(StructuralRealism).
    InternationalInstitutionalism.Liberalism.Strategy,War,
    andRationalChoice.
    VariantsandUsesoftheClassicalModel
    2TheCubanMissileCrisis:AFirstCut
    WhyDidtheSovietUnionDecidetoPlaceOffensiveMissilesin
    Cuba?
    Hypothesis1:CubanDefense.Hypothesis2:ColdWarPolitics.
    Hypothesis3:MissilePower.Hypothesis4:Berlin--Win,
    Trade,orTrap.
    WhyDidtheUnitedStatesRespondtotheMissileDeployment
    withaBlockade?
    AlternativeI:DoNothing.Alternative2:Diplomatic
    Pressures.Alternative3:ASecretApproachtoCastro.
    Alternative4:Invasion.Alternative5:AirStrike.
    Alternative6:Blockade.
    WhyDidtheSovietUnionWithdrawtheMissiles?
    3 ModelII:OrganizationalBehavior
    OrganizationalLogicandEfficiency
    OrganizationalLogicandOrganizationalCulture
    InteractiveComplexity
    NASA:HeroandGoat
    OrganizationalBehaviorParadigm
    4TheCubanMissileCrisis:ASecondCut
    DeploymentofSovietMissilesinCuba
    TheSovietBuild-upinDetail.Organizational
    Implementation.
    ImpositionofaU.S.BlockadeofCuba
    OrganizationalIntelligence.OrganizationalOptions.
    OrganizationalImplementation.
    TheWithdrawalofSovietMissilesfromCuba
    5ModelIII:GovernmentalPolitics
    TheGovernmentalPoliticsModelIllustrated__
    1.SeparatedInstitutionsSharingPower.2.ThePowerto
    Persuade.3.BargainingAccordingtotheProcesses.4.Power
    EqualsImpactonOutcome.5.Intranationaland
    InternationalRelations.
    GroupProcessesandTheirEffectsonChoicesandAction
    1.BetterDecisions.2.The"Agency"Problem:Principals,
    Agents,andPlayers.3.Participants:WhoPlays?4.Decision
    Rules.5.FramingIssuesandSettingAgendas.6.Groupthink.
    7.Complexityof]ointAction.
    AGovernmentalPoliticsParadigm
    6TheCubanMissileCrisis:AThirdCut
    TheImpositionofaBlockadebytheUnitedStates
    ThePoliticsofDiscovery.ThePoliticsofChoice.
    SovietWithdrawaloftheMissilesfromCuba
    SovietsKillanAmericanU-2Pilot.ThePresidentandthe
    Chairman.The"Deal":ResolvingtheTurkishProblem.
    The"Deal":ResolvingtheCubanProblem.
    7Conclusion
    SummingUp:DifferencesinInterpretation
    SummingUp:DifferentAnswersorDifferentQuestions?
    WhereDoWeGofromHere?
    Index
查看详情
好书推荐 / 更多
决策的本质
唐宋时期的雕版印刷
宿白
决策的本质
文本及其不满
黄子平
决策的本质
显微镜下的成都
王笛 著
决策的本质
矮人星上的矮人(翁贝托·埃科作品系列)
翁贝托·埃科 、欧金尼奥·卡尔米 著;王建全 译
决策的本质
人生档案:波兰当代戏剧家剧作选
黄珊、赵祯 译;维托尔德·贡布罗维奇;塔代乌什·鲁热维奇;斯拉沃米尔·姆罗热克;斯塔尼斯瓦夫·伊格纳奇·维特凯维奇
决策的本质
一个利他主义者之死
奥伦·哈曼 著
决策的本质
谁都可以画漫画!手冢治虫大师班
甘卉 、后浪 译;[日]手冢治虫
决策的本质
杜甫:中国最伟大的诗人(史学大家洪业唯一专书著述,哈佛大学出版社研究作品,BBC热播同名杜甫纪录片重点参考,梁文道“开卷八分钟”特别推荐)
洪业 著;曾祥波 译
决策的本质
数学之美 第三版
吴军
决策的本质
俄苏文学经典译著·盗用公款的人们
卡泰耶夫 著;小莹 译
决策的本质
十三行小字中央
江弱水 著
决策的本质
两京十五日(全2册)马伯庸全新作品
马伯庸 著